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Aaron Gordon

Aaron Gordon Points
Player Prop - 12/16/2024

Sacramento Kings vs Denver Nuggets

Aaron Gordon Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Among all players in the NBA, Aaron Gordon places in the 79th percentile for scoring effectiveness with a remarkable 51.7% rate this year.

Out of all players in the NBA, Aaron Gordon rates in the 82nd percentile for three-point performance when playing away from home with a very good 42.5% rate this year.

The Nuggets rank as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 20 games.

This year, the opposition's starting PFs have averaged 52.6% on shots from the field (6th-highest in the league) against the Kings, designating this as a favorable matchup.

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 2nd-quickest tempo in the league over the last 5 games.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Sacramento Kings have played at the 6th-slowest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games at home, which should reduce possessions for the Nuggets.

The Denver Nuggets check in as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

The matchup vs. the Kings may be a tough one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting PFs have attempted a lowly 2.4 foul shots per game over the last 20 games (least in the NBA).

Aaron Gordon is expected to see a decline in output in all facets of the game in light of playing away from home in this contest.

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