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Aaron Gordon

Aaron Gordon Points
Player Prop - 2/25/2024

Golden State Warriors vs Denver Nuggets

Aaron Gordon Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Among all players in the NBA, Aaron Gordon ranks in the 80th percentile for field goal performance away from home with a a stellar 52.8% rate this year.

Among all players in the NBA, Aaron Gordon lands in the 83rd percentile for playing time, averaging a whopping 31.5 minutes per game this year.

This year when they are away from home, the opposition's starting PFs have averaged 15.8 field goal attempts per game (29th-most in the NBA) against the Golden State Warriors, creating a favorable matchup.

The Denver Nuggets will likely get a boost in possessions in this game from squaring off against the 4th-speediest tempo offense in the league over the last 15 games (the Golden State Warriors).

The Nuggets check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Out of all players in the league, Aaron Gordon registers in the 92nd percentile for technical fouls, totaling a colossal 0.1 fouls per game this year.

The Nuggets have been the 5th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 15 games.

The 2nd-most sluggish pace away team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Nuggets.

This year when they are the visiting team, the other team has brought down 11.4 offensive boards per game (7th-highest in the NBA) against the Golden State Warriors (maintaining possessions that can result in extra chances for offense).

Aaron Gordon has made 61.0% of his free throws this year, ranking in the 13th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

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