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Aaron Gordon

Aaron Gordon Points
Player Prop - 2/22/2024

Denver Nuggets vs Washington Wizards

Aaron Gordon Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-110/-121).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -152 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Gordon has converted 53.3% of his 3-point shots over the last 5 games at home, 15.2% higher than he's sunk over the course of the year while playing at home.

Aaron Gordon has been on the court for 30.8 minutes per game on his home court this year, ranking him in the 80th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA.

This year, the other team's starting PFs have posted 18.6 points per game (22nd-highest in the league) against the Washington Wizards, identifying this as a favorable matchup for offensive production.

The Washington Wizards have played at the quickest tempo in the NBA this year, which should increase possessions for the Denver Nuggets.

Offensive rebounds save possession and create further chances for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets rank 12thbest in in the NBA on their home court with 12.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Gordon has tallied 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while playing at home, 1.2 higher than he's tallied in all games this season at home.

The Denver Nuggets have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games as the home team.

The Wizards have given up the most offensive boards per game (12.7) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).

When it comes to drawing fouls, the Nuggets's subpar 20.7 free throws per game measures as the 4th-worst in the NBA this year.

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