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Aaron Gordon

Aaron Gordon Points
Player Prop - 2/2/2024

Denver Nuggets vs Portland Trail Blazers

Aaron Gordon Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-135/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Among all players in the league, Aaron Gordon registers in the 85th percentile for field goal proficiency with a a superb 54.9% rate this year.

Aaron Gordon has converted 44.8% of his 3-point attempts over the last 10 games at home, 8.9% more than he's made from 3-point range over the course of the year when playing at home.

The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 10th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games away from their home court, which should boost plays for the Denver Nuggets.

The Nuggets rank as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

Aaron Gordon has attempted 4.8 foul shots per game over the last 10 games, 1.1 more than he's attempted in all games this season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Gordon has averaged 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 more than he's averaged in all games this year.

This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have shot 29.6% on 3-pointers (12th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Portland Trail Blazers, branding this as a hard matchup.

The 2nd-most lethargic pace team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Nuggets.

Over the last 25 games when they are playing at home, opposing teams have grabbed 11.4 offensive boards per game (3rd-most in the league) vs. the Portland Trail Blazers (lengthening possessions that can spark further opportunities for offense).

As it relates to getting to the foul line, the Nuggets's feeble 21.0 free throw attempts per game measures as the 4th-worst in the NBA this year.

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