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Aaron Gordon

Aaron Gordon Points
Player Prop - 1/31/2024

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets

Aaron Gordon Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-137/-137).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -137 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -137.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Gordon has played 31.9 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 84th percentile.

Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and result in bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets grade out 14thbest in in the league when playing on the road with 12.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games.

Aaron Gordon has converted 3.0 free throws per game over the last 10 games on the road, 1.0 higher than he's sunk over the course of the season when playing away from home.

The number of fouls drawn by other starting Cs vs. Chet Holmgren has been remarkably high (4.7 free throw attempts per game) when guarding other starting Cs this year (100th percentile).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Gordon has converted 26.2% of his three-point attempts this year, ranking him in the 21st percentile among all players in the NBA.

Aaron Gordon has tallied 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.1 higher than he's tallied over the course of the season.

With respect to offense, the Denver Nuggets's subpar 107.0 points per game places 3rd-lowest in the league over the last 5 games.

The matchup vs. Chet Holmgren is a hard one for field goals; when Holmgren is on his home court and squaring off against fellow starting Cs this year, they have converted a measly 5.0 buckets per game (7th percentile).

The least up-tempo pace road offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Nuggets.

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