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Aaron Gordon

Aaron Gordon Points
Player Prop - 1/29/2024

Denver Nuggets vs Milwaukee Bucks

Aaron Gordon Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Gordon has converted 68.5% of his shots from the field over the last 10 games at home, 6.9% higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year while at home.

Aaron Gordon has averaged 31.2 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 82nd percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league.

This year, the opposition's starting PFs have averaged 1.8 threes per game (24th-highest in the league) vs. the Milwaukee Bucks, marking this as a positive matchup.

The Nuggets are expected to see a rise in possessions in this game from facing the fastest pace team in the league over the last 20 games (the Bucks).

Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and produce extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets rank 6thbest in in the league with 12.0 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The most sluggish pace offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Denver Nuggets.

The Milwaukee Bucks have given up the 10th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.0) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).

With respect to getting to the charity stripe, the Denver Nuggets's unimpressive 21.0 foul shots per game comes in as the 5th-worst in the league this year.

Over the last 25 games, the opposition's starting PFs have attempted 2.6 free throws per game (14th-lowest in the league) against the Bucks, making it tough to get to the free-throw line.

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