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Aaron Gordon

Aaron Gordon Points
Player Prop - 1/21/2024

Washington Wizards vs Denver Nuggets

Aaron Gordon Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-157/+114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ +114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Gordon has converted 63.4% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 15 games, 7.7% higher than he's made overall this season.

Among all players in the league, Aaron Gordon registers in the 85th percentile for playing time, registering an enormous 32.1 minutes per game this year.

This year when they are the visiting team, the opposing team's starting PFs have tallied 14.6 shot attempts per game (24th-highest in the league) vs. the Washington Wizards, branding this as a good matchup.

The Wizards have played at the most up-tempo pace in the NBA this year, which should raise possessions for the Nuggets.

The Nuggets check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games when playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Gordon has been called for 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while playing on the road, 0.8 more than he's been called for in all games this season on the road.

The Denver Nuggets have been the 10th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA as the visting team this year.

The Denver Nuggets have played at the most sluggish tempo in the league over the last 10 games while playing away from home.

The Wizards have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (13.0) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Aaron Gordon will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city generally decreases stat production in all facets of the game.

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