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Aaron Gordon

Aaron Gordon Points
Player Prop - 1/5/2024

Denver Nuggets vs Orlando Magic

Aaron Gordon Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Gordon has sunk 68.9% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games at home, 9.7% more than he's converted in all games this year with the home court advantage.

Aaron Gordon has successfully made 58.3% of his 3-point attempts over the last 5 games, 32.3% more than he's converted from three overall this season.

Out of all players in the league, Aaron Gordon comes in at the 82nd percentile for playing time, logging an enormous 31.3 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year.

The Denver Nuggets rank as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).

The Orlando Magic have allowed the 3rd-least offensive boards per game (9.4) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The matchup vs. Orlando is a difficult one; when the Orlando Magic are the visiting squad, they have given up the 15th-least points per game in the league to the other team's starting PFs over the last 10 games (15.1).

The Nuggets have played at the most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 10 games.

The Nuggets are expected to see a decline in plays in this contest from competing against the 9th-least up-tempo pace-of-play team in the league over the last 5 games (the Magic).

In regard to getting to the foul line, the Denver Nuggets's feeble 20.5 foul shots per game comes in as the 3rd-worst in the NBA this year.

The matchup vs. Orlando may be a hard one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted just 2.8 foul shots per game over the last 10 games when the Orlando Magic are away from home (13th-least in the NBA).

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