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Aaron Gordon

Aaron Gordon Points
Player Prop - 11/24/2023

Houston Rockets vs Denver Nuggets

Aaron Gordon Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ +105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Gordon has been on the court for 31.4 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 79th percentile.

Offensive rebounds save possession and create further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets grade out 8thbest in in the NBA on their home court with 12.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

This year when they are playing at home, opposing teams have brought down 10.2 offensive boards per game (9th-lowest in the league) against the Rockets (lessening possessions that could otherwise bring about additional opportunities for offense).

This year when they are away from home, opposing starting PFs have attempted 5.2 foul shots per game (29th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Houston Rockets, succeeding in their efforts to get to the foul line.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Compared to last year's 36.2% mark, Aaron Gordon's three-point effectiveness has decreased this year to 10.4%.

Aaron Gordon has accumulated 0.4 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games while at home, 0.3 more than he's accumulated overall this season at home.

The Nuggets rank as the 10th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA when playing away from home this year.

This year when they are on their home court, the other team's starting PFs have averaged 3.5 three attempts per game (8th-fewest in the league) against the Houston Rockets, marking this as a challenging matchup.

The Nuggets have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA this year.

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