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Aaron Gordon

Aaron Gordon Points
Player Prop - 11/14/2023

Denver Nuggets vs LA Clippers

Aaron Gordon Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (+100/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Among all players in the NBA, Aaron Gordon lands in the 78th percentile for playing time, compiling a colossal 31.5 minutes per game on the road this year.

Compared to last year's 0.1 rate, Aaron Gordon's technical fouls have diminished this year to 0.0 per game.

The Nuggets have been the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

The matchup against the Clippers is a favorable one for getting to the free-throw line; the other team's starting PFs have attempted a massive 5.3 foul shots per game this year (30th-most in the NBA).

Aaron Gordon will have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium generally boosts player performance across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Gordon has attempted 2.0 shots from behind the three-point arc per game playing at home this year, ranking in the 15th percentile among all players in the league.

The matchup vs. Los Angeles is a challenging one for three-point shots; when the Clippers are the visiting team, the opposition's starting PFs have compiled the 14th-lowest three rate in the league this year (21.3%).

The 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play road team in the NBA this year has been the Denver Nuggets.

The {OPP_TEAM} will likely suffer a drop-off in plays in this contest from sharing the court with the 4th-most lethargic pace-of-play home offense in the NBA this year (the LA Clippers).

Away from their home court, the LA Clippers have given up the 8th-most offensive boards per game (10.9) in the NBA to opposing clubs since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).

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