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Aaron Gordon

Aaron Gordon Points
Player Prop - 11/12/2023

Houston Rockets vs Denver Nuggets

Aaron Gordon Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-106/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Among all players in the league, Aaron Gordon registers in the 90th percentile for field goal proficiency away from his home court with a a stellar 58.2% rate since the start of last season.

Aaron Gordon has played 31.4 minutes per game on his home court since the start of last season, ranking him in the 83rd percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league.

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and generate added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets grade out 3rdbest in in the league while on their home court with 12.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

On their home court, the Houston Rockets have given up the 10th-least offensive boards per game (9.3) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The matchup vs. Houston is a hard one for threes; when the Rockets are at home, the opposing team's starting PFs have put up the 15th-lowest 3-point rate in the league this year (21.5%).

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 4th-most lethargic pace in the league as the home team this year.

The {OPP_TEAM} will likely see a decline in plays in this game from sharing the court with the most lethargic pace-of-play away team in the league this year (the Houston Rockets).

In contrast to last season's 4.4 mark, Aaron Gordon's number of free throws has decreased this season to 2.4 free throws per game.

In regard to getting to the foul line, the Denver Nuggets's unimpressive 20.4 free throw attempts per game places worst in the league since the start of last season.

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