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Aaron Gordon

Aaron Gordon Points
Player Prop - 11/8/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Golden State Warriors

Aaron Gordon Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Out of all players in the league, Aaron Gordon comes in at the 83rd percentile for scoring prowess with a an excellent 60.4% rate this year.

Aaron Gordon has averaged 30.4 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 80th percentile.

The matchup against the Warriors is a positive one for three-point attempts; the other team's starting PFs have totaled the 26th-most three attempts per game in the league since the start of last season (4.5).

The Nuggets will likely get a boost in plays today from competing against the 2nd-quickest pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 8 games (the Golden State Warriors).

The Denver Nuggets rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Gordon has tallied 0.0 technical fouls per game when playing away from home this year, ranking in the 83rd percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled when it comes to getting T'ed up.

The 5th-least up-tempo pace road team in the league this year has been the Nuggets.

While on the road, the Golden State Warriors have given up the 8th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.5) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).

In contrast to last year's 62.4% clip, Aaron Gordon's foul-shot ability has fallen this year to 36.7%.

With respect to getting to the charity stripe, the Denver Nuggets's poor 17.8 foul shots per game measures as the worst in the NBA this year.

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