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Aaron Gordon

Aaron Gordon Points
Player Prop - 11/4/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Chicago Bulls

 
 
 
Aaron Gordon Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-102/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -102.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Aaron Gordon has sunk 54.4% of his shots from the field at home since the start of last season, ranking him in the 85th percentile among all players in the league.
  • Since the start of last season when they are on the road, the opposition's starting PFs have averaged 1.8 three-pointers per game (28th-highest in the NBA) against the Chicago Bulls, identifying this as a strong matchup.
  • The Nuggets rank as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games when playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).
  • Since the start of last season when they are on their home court, their opposition has grabbed 9.7 offensive boards per game (5th-lowest in the league) vs. the Chicago Bulls (losing possessions that could otherwise generate further opportunities for offense).
  • Since the start of last season when they are playing at home, their opposition has attempted 22.2 free throws per game (6th-fewest in the league) against the Chicago Bulls, making it tough to get to the charity stripe.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Aaron Gordon has committed 0.1 technical fouls per game since the start of last season, putting him among the most-whistled players in the NBA when it comes to technicals (92nd percentile).
  • The Denver Nuggets check in as the 3rd-least aggressive offense in the NBA on their home court since the start of last season as it relates to shot attempts from beyond the arc.
  • The Nuggets have played at the 6th-least up-tempo pace in the NBA on the road this year.
  • The Chicago Bulls have played at the slowest pace in the league away from their home city this year, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the {OPP_TEAM}.
  • Aaron Gordon has converted 60.8% of his free throws away from home since the start of last season, ranking him in the 9th percentile out of all players in the league.

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