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Aaron Gordon

Aaron Gordon Points
Player Prop - 11/1/2023

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets

Aaron Gordon Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-105/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Among all players in the league, Aaron Gordon registers in the 88th percentile for field goal efficiency without the home court advantage with a a great 56.1% rate since the start of last season.

Out of all players in the NBA, Aaron Gordon places in the 81st percentile for playing time, putting up a massive 30.9 minutes per game while on his home court since the start of last season.

When it comes to shooting, the Nuggets's exceptional 50.4% field goal percentage on the road places best in the NBA since the start of last season.

The matchup vs. Minnesota is a strong one; when the Timberwolves are the visiting team, they have given up the 26th-most points per game in the league to opposing starting PFs since the start of last season (16.1).

Aaron Gordon has attempted 4.3 foul shots per game since the start of last season, putting him in the 87th percentile among all players in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Nuggets have played at the 5th-most sluggish pace in the NBA while playing away from home this year.

The Nuggets rank as the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

Since the start of last season, the other team has come down with 11.1 offensive boards per game (5th-most in the league) vs. the Timberwolves (saving possessions that can create bonus opportunities for offense).

Aaron Gordon will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road usually decreases player performance in all stat categories.

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