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Aaron Gordon

Aaron Gordon Points
Player Prop - 10/24/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Los Angeles Lakers

Aaron Gordon Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-127/-102).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ +102 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -102.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Gordon has converted 43.8% of his shots from downtown over the last 5 games at home, core.FORMAT(ABS(DIFF_RATE),1)% more than he's converted in all games this season while playing at home.

Relative to his full-season rate of core.FORMAT(RATE2,1), Aaron Gordon's playing time has surged by core.FORMAT(ABS(DIFF_RATE),1) over the last 15 games minutes per game.

The matchup vs. Los Angeles is a positive one; when the Los Angeles Lakers are on the road, they have allowed the 25th-most points per game in the NBA to the other team's starting PFs over the last 15 games (18.3).

Offensive rebounds save possession and lead to extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets rank 8thbest in in the NBA with 11.5 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games.

Aaron Gordon should see a spike in output for all stats due to enjoying the home court advantage in this game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Out of all players in the league, Aaron Gordon slots into the 93rd percentile for technical fouls, posting a massive 0.1 fouls per game while on the road this year.

In terms of shot attempts from downtown, the 3rd-least aggressive team in the league while on their home court this year has been the Nuggets.

The 3rd-slowest pace-of-play visiting offense in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Nuggets.

The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 9th-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should decrease opportunities for the {OPP_TEAM}.

This year when they are on their home court, opposing clubs have grabbed 11.2 offensive rebounds per game (5th-highest in the league) against the Lakers (preserving possessions that can spark extra opportunities for offense).

More Aaron Gordon Player Props

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