My Account Log Out

reorder

Aaron Gordon

Aaron Gordon Points
Player Prop - 6/7/2023

Miami Heat vs Denver Nuggets

Aaron Gordon Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (+104/-128).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -128 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -128.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Gordon has converted 56.1% of his shots from the field this year, placing him in the 88th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

Aaron Gordon has played 36.3 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 5.5 more than he's played in all games this year.

The Denver Nuggets check in as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing on the road.

The Heat have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (9.3) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

Aaron Gordon has attempted 4.4 free throws per game this year, significantly more than his 3.2 rate last year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The matchup against the Heat is a tough one for 3-pointers; the other team's starting PFs have put up the 11th-lowest three percentage in the league this year (28.1%).

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 5th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games while on the road.

The Heat have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games, which should decrease possessions for the Nuggets.

The Denver Nuggets rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games when playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

Aaron Gordon will not possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road tends to reduces player production across the board.

More Aaron Gordon Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™