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Aaron Gordon

Aaron Gordon Points
Player Prop - 5/22/2023

Los Angeles Lakers vs Denver Nuggets

Aaron Gordon Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-114/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Gordon has made 55.7% of his field goal attempts this year, putting him in the 88th percentile among all players in the NBA.

Aaron Gordon has averaged 36.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games when playing away from home, 4.9 higher than he's averaged overall this year on the road.

The matchup vs. Los Angeles is a favorable one for field goal attempts; when the Lakers are playing at home, the other team's starting PFs have tallied the 21st-most FG attempts per game in the league this year (12.1).

The Lakers have played at the 6th-quickest pace-of-play in the league this year, which should boost plays for the Nuggets.

The Denver Nuggets check in as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games.

The Lakers have allowed the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.6) in the league to their opposition over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).

As a team, the Denver Nuggets have been poor at getting to the foul line without the home court advantage: 3rd-worst in the NBA this year with a lowly 20.6 free throw attempts per game.

Aaron Gordon will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road tends to worsens player performance for all stats.

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