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Aaron Gordon

Aaron Gordon Points
Player Prop - 5/20/2023

Los Angeles Lakers vs Denver Nuggets

Aaron Gordon Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-112/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -112.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Gordon has successfully made 55.9% of his shot attempts from the field this year, placing him in the 88th percentile out of all players in the league.

Aaron Gordon has tallied 36.8 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 6.3 higher than he's tallied over the course of the season.

The matchup vs. Los Angeles is a positive one for shots from the field; when the Lakers are at home, opposing starting PFs have averaged the 24th-most shot attempts per game in the league this year (12.2).

The Lakers have played at the 6th-speediest pace-of-play in the league this year, which ought to increase plays for the Nuggets.

The Denver Nuggets have been the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Denver Nuggets rank as the least aggressive offense in the league this year as it relates to 3-point attempts.

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 4th-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 25 games.

While playing at home, the Lakers have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (14.6) in the league to opposing teams over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Aaron Gordon will not hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home city tends to reduces stat production in all stat categories.

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