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Aaron Gordon

Aaron Gordon Points
Player Prop - 5/18/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Los Angeles Lakers

Aaron Gordon Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (+110/-140).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Gordon has made 53.8% of his shots from the field while playing at home this year, ranking him in the 83rd percentile out of all players in the NBA.

Aaron Gordon has played 36.0 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 5.6 more than he's played over the course of the year.

The matchup vs. Los Angeles is a good one; when the Lakers are the visiting team, they have allowed the 26th-most points per game in the league to the other team's starting PFs over the last 15 games (18.7).

The Lakers have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA without the home court advantage this year, which should increase possessions for the Nuggets.

The Denver Nuggets check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games while at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Gordon has accumulated 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 15 games, 1.1 higher than he's accumulated overall this season.

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games when playing at home.

The Lakers have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (13.8) in the league to their opposition over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).

Aaron Gordon has shot and missed 1.7 foul shots per game this year, a significant increase from his 0.8 mark last year.

As a team, the Denver Nuggets have been lousy at getting to the foul line: 8th-worst in the NBA this year, averaging just 22.4 foul shot attempts per game.

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