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Aaron Gordon

Aaron Gordon Points
Player Prop - 5/16/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Los Angeles Lakers

Aaron Gordon Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Gordon has made 54.0% of his field goals on his home court this year, placing him in the 84th percentile among all players in the league.

Aaron Gordon has played 35.7 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 5.4 higher than he's played over the course of the season.

The matchup vs. Los Angeles is a strong one; when the Lakers are on the road, they have given up the 26th-most points per game in the NBA to the other team's starting PFs over the last 15 games (19.4).

The Lakers have played at the 3rd-quickest pace-of-play in the league away from their home city this year, which should lead to increased opportunities for the Nuggets.

The Denver Nuggets rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games while on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Gordon has averaged 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games, 1.5 more than he's averaged over the course of the year.

The Denver Nuggets have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games at home.

The Lakers have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (14.1) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Aaron Gordon has missed 1.7 foul shots per game this year, significantly more than his 0.8 mark last year.

As a team, the Denver Nuggets have been bad at drawing fouls: 8th-worst in the league this year with a mere 22.4 foul shots per game.

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