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Aaron Gordon

Aaron Gordon Points
Player Prop - 5/5/2023

Phoenix Suns vs Denver Nuggets

Aaron Gordon Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Gordon has made 57.0% of his field goals this year, putting him in the 89th percentile among all players in the NBA.

Aaron Gordon has averaged 36.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.3 more than he's averaged in all games this season.

The Denver Nuggets have been the most efficient shooting team in the NBA this year.

The matchup vs. Phoenix may be a good one for getting to the free throw line; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted a monstrous 5.7 foul shots per game over the last 10 games when the Suns are on their home court (29th-most in the NBA).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Gordon has accumulated 3.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.7 higher than he's accumulated over the course of the season.

The matchup vs. the Suns is a hard one; they have allowed the 13th-least points per game in the NBA to opposing starting PFs over the last 25 games (11.7).

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 3rd-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games when playing on the road.

The Suns have played at the 9th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should decrease plays for the Nuggets.

The Denver Nuggets rank as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

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