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Aaron Gordon

Aaron Gordon Points
Player Prop - 5/1/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Phoenix Suns

Aaron Gordon Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Gordon has successfully made a whopping 57.0% of his shots from the field this season, a sizeable increase from his 51.6 rate last season.

Aaron Gordon has played 35.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.1 more than he's played over the course of the year.

The Suns have played at the 10th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games on the road, which ought to raise opportunities for the Nuggets.

The Denver Nuggets have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Aaron Gordon has attempted 4.5 free throws per game this year, a significant increase from his 3.2 rate last year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Denver Nuggets have been the least aggressive offense in the NBA this year as it relates to attempts from downtown.

The matchup against Phoenix is a hard one for shots from the field; when the Suns are away from home, the opposition's starting PFs have tallied the 15th-least field goals per game in the league this year (4.7).

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games.

The Suns have given up the 8th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.9) in the league to the other team over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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