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Aaron Gordon

Aaron Gordon Points
Player Prop - 4/29/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Phoenix Suns

Aaron Gordon Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (+100/-132).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -104 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -132.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Gordon has made 54.0% of his field goal attempts when playing at home this year, ranking in the 83rd percentile among all players in the league.

The Denver Nuggets have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games when playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Aaron Gordon has attempted 4.6 foul shots per game this season, quite a bit more than his 3.2 mark last season.

The matchup vs. the Suns may be a good one for getting to the free throw line; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted a massive 3.8 foul shots per game over the last 20 games (25th-most in the NBA).

Aaron Gordon will enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing at home generally improves player performance for all stats.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Gordon has been called for 4.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 2.5 more than he's been called for in all games this year.

The Denver Nuggets have been the least aggressive offense in the NBA this year when it comes to three-point attempts.

The matchup against Phoenix is a hard one; when the Suns are away from home, they have allowed the 13th-least points per game in the NBA to opposing starting PFs this year (13.1).

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 25 games.

The Suns have played at the 8th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA on the road this year, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Nuggets.

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