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Aaron Gordon

Aaron Gordon Points
Player Prop - 4/25/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves

Aaron Gordon Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-108/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -103 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -108.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Gordon has sunk an impressive 57.0% of his shot attempts from the field this year, quite a bit more than his 51.6 mark last year.

Aaron Gordon has sunk 45.8% of his shots from downtown over the last 5 games, 13.4% more than he's made from 3-point range overall this year.

Aaron Gordon has played 28.7 minutes per game on his home court this year, placing him in the 75th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league.

The Denver Nuggets check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).

The matchup vs. the Timberwolves is a good one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted a massive 3.9 foul shots per game this year (29th-most in the NBA).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Gordon has tallied 4.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 2.0 higher than he's tallied in all games this year.

The Denver Nuggets check in as the 3rd-least aggressive offense in the league on their home court this year as it relates to three-point attempts.

The matchup vs. Minnesota is a hard one for scoring; when the Timberwolves are away from home, the other team's starting PFs have shot for the 13th-lowest field goal rate in the league this year (44.9%).

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 2nd-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing at home.

The Timberwolves have played at the 5th-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Nuggets.

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