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Aaron Gordon

Aaron Gordon Points
Player Prop - 4/23/2023

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets

Aaron Gordon Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-106/-122).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -103 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -106.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Gordon has successfully made 57.1% of his shot attempts from the field this year, ranking him in the 89th percentile among all players in the league.

Aaron Gordon has averaged 29.6 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 78th percentile.

The matchup vs. the Timberwolves is a favorable one; they have given up the 26th-most points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting PFs over the last 10 games (19.1).

The Denver Nuggets check in as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).

The matchup vs. the Timberwolves is a good one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted a monstrous 4.0 foul shots per game this year (29th-most in the NBA).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Gordon has committed 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 more than he's committed in all games this season.

The Denver Nuggets check in as the 4th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games.

The Denver Nuggets have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games when playing away from home.

The Timberwolves have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Nuggets.

The Timberwolves have allowed the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.2) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).

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