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Aaron Gordon

Aaron Gordon Points
Player Prop - 4/19/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves

Aaron Gordon Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-140/+110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Gordon has successfully made a terrific 57.1% of his field goals this season, a significant increase from his 51.6 mark last season.

The Timberwolves have played at the 7th-fastest pace in the league this year, which should raise opportunities for the Nuggets.

The Denver Nuggets have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

The matchup against the Timberwolves is a positive one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted a colossal 4.0 free throws per game this year (29th-most in the league).

Aaron Gordon will enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home city usually boosts player production in all facets of the game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Gordon has tallied 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, 0.9 more than he's tallied over the course of the year at home.

The matchup against Minnesota is a challenging one for field goals; when the Timberwolves are on the road, opposing starting PFs have put up the 13th-lowest FG% in the NBA this year (44.7%).

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games while playing at home.

The Timberwolves have given up the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.3) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

Aaron Gordon has successfully made a mere 62.0% of his foul shot attempts this season, quite a bit lower than his 73.9 mark last season.

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