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Aaron Gordon

Aaron Gordon Points
Player Prop - 4/8/2023

Utah Jazz vs Denver Nuggets

Aaron Gordon Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-111/-116).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -111.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Gordon has attempted 14.8 shots per game over the last 5 games, 3.6 more than he's attempted over the course of the year.

Aaron Gordon has averaged 29.7 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 78th percentile.

The Jazz have played at the 2nd-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games, which should boost possessions for the Nuggets.

The Denver Nuggets have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Aaron Gordon has attempted 4.6 free throws per game this year, significantly higher than his 3.2 mark last year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Gordon has converted 18.6% of his 3-point shots over the last 15 games, -13.0% lower than he's sunk over the course of the season.

The Denver Nuggets check in as the lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games.

The matchup against Utah is a difficult one for 3-point attempts; when the Jazz are at home, the opposition's starting PFs have totaled the 11th-least 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (3.9).

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing away from home.

At home, the Jazz have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (12.3) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).

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