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Aaron Gordon

Aaron Gordon Points
Player Prop - 4/4/2023

Houston Rockets vs Denver Nuggets

Aaron Gordon Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-106/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ -122 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Gordon has attempted 14.4 shots per game over the last 5 games, 3.2 higher than he's attempted overall this season.

Aaron Gordon has averaged 29.7 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 78th percentile.

The Denver Nuggets have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).

The matchup against the Rockets may be a good one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting PFs have attempted a whopping 5.4 free throws per game over the last 10 games (30th-most in the league).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Gordon has averaged 0.1 technical fouls per game when playing away from home this year, ranking in the 84th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling when it comes to technicals.

The Denver Nuggets check in as the least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 10 games in terms of 3-point attempts.

The matchup vs. Houston is a hard one; when the Rockets are at home, they have given up the 15th-least points per game in the league to the other team's starting PFs this year (12.3).

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 10 games while playing on the road.

The Rockets have played at the 5th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to reduce possessions for the Nuggets.

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