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Aaron Gordon

Aaron Gordon Points
Player Prop - 3/22/2023

Washington Wizards vs Denver Nuggets

Aaron Gordon Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-122/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Gordon has converted 58.4% of his field goals this year, ranking him in the 90th percentile among all players in the league.

Aaron Gordon has been on the court for 29.6 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 77th percentile.

The Denver Nuggets rank as the 7th-highest scoring offense in the league this year.

Aaron Gordon has attempted 4.8 free throws per game this year, quite a bit more than his 3.2 mark last year.

The matchup vs. Washington is a good one for getting to the free throw line; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted a monstrous 3.7 foul shots per game this year when the Wizards are at home (23rd-most in the league).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Gordon has made 19.5% of his treys over the last 15 games, -12.9% less than he's made from beyond the arc overall this year.

The matchup vs. the Wizards is a difficult one for scoring; the opposing team's starting PFs have put up the 13th-lowest Field Goal% in the league this year (45.1%).

The Denver Nuggets have played at the most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.

The Wizards have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 10 games, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Nuggets.

The Denver Nuggets rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

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