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Aaron Gordon

Aaron Gordon Points
Player Prop - 3/19/2023

Brooklyn Nets vs Denver Nuggets

Aaron Gordon Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Gordon has made 5.7 field goals per game this year, putting him in the 83rd percentile among all players in the league.

The Denver Nuggets check in as the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 15 games.

The matchup against Brooklyn is a strong one for shot attempts from the field; when the Nets are at home, the other team's starting PFs have averaged the 27th-most field goal attempts per game in the NBA since the start of last season (12.1).

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 6th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 10 games.

Aaron Gordon has attempted 5.6 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.4 more than he's attempted in all games this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Gordon has been called for 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's been called for in all games this year.

The Nets have played at the 8th-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the Nuggets.

The Denver Nuggets rank as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

With the home court advantage, the Nets have given up the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.3) in the league to their opposition over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).

The matchup against the Nets is a challenging one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted just 2.5 foul shots per game this year (14th-least in the NBA).

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