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Aaron Gordon

Aaron Gordon Points
Player Prop - 3/18/2023

New York Knicks vs Denver Nuggets

Aaron Gordon Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Gordon has made 5.7 field goals per game this year, putting him in the 83rd percentile out of all players in the league.

The Denver Nuggets have been the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 15 games.

The matchup against the Knicks is a good one for 3-point attempts; opposing starting PFs have tallied the 26th-most three attempts per game in the league this year (4.3).

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 6th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games.

Playing at home, the Knicks have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (8.1) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Gordon has committed 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's committed in all games this year.

The Knicks have played at the 5th-slowest pace in the NBA this year, which ought to reduce plays for the Nuggets.

The Denver Nuggets rank as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

The matchup vs. New York may be a challenging one for getting to the free throw line; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted just 1.6 foul shots per game over the last 10 games when the Knicks are at home (13th-least in the NBA).

Aaron Gordon will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road tends to lowers stat production in all stat categories.

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