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Aaron Gordon

Aaron Gordon Points
Player Prop - 3/16/2023

Detroit Pistons vs Denver Nuggets

Aaron Gordon Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-130/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Gordon has made 5.7 shots made from the field per game this year, ranking him in the 83rd percentile among all players in the league.

The Denver Nuggets check in as the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 15 games.

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 6th-fastest pace in the league over the last 10 games.

The Pistons have played at the 8th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to raise possessions for the Nuggets.

Aaron Gordon has attempted 5.6 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.4 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Gordon has accumulated 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's accumulated in all games this season.

The matchup vs. the Pistons is a difficult one for scoring; the other team's starting PFs have put up the 9th-lowest FG% in the league this year (45.1%).

The Denver Nuggets rank as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

With the home court advantage, the Pistons have allowed the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.4) in the league to opposing teams over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Aaron Gordon will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road generally worsens player production in all facets of the game.

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