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Aaron Gordon

Aaron Gordon Points
Player Prop - 3/12/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Brooklyn Nets

Aaron Gordon Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-111/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Gordon has successfully made 49.3% of his attempts from downtown over the last 10 games at home, 13.2% more than he's made from beyond the arc in all games this season on his home court.

Aaron Gordon has tallied 31.7 minutes per game when playing at home this year, putting him in the 81st percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league.

The Denver Nuggets check in as the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 15 games.

This matchup is a tough one for 3-pointers; when the Nets are the visiting team, their opposition have compiled the 6th-lowest three rate in the NBA this year (34.1%).

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 4th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games at home.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Gordon has averaged 0.8 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.7 more than he's averaged over the course of the year.

The matchup vs. the Nets is a challenging one; they have allowed the 12th-least points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting PFs over the last 20 games (11.5).

The Denver Nuggets check in as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league while on their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

The Nets have given up the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (11.9) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

The matchup vs. the Nets is a difficult one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted a lowly 2.5 foul shots per game this year (14th-least in the league).

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