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Aaron Gordon

Aaron Gordon Points
Player Prop - 3/3/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Memphis Grizzlies

Aaron Gordon Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-120/-102).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -122 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -102.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Gordon has sunk 7.2 baskets per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.6 more than he's put through the net over the course of the season playing at home.

Aaron Gordon has made 49.3% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 10 games at home, 13.2% more than he's made from beyond the arc in all games this year while at home.

Aaron Gordon has played 31.7 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 82nd percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA.

The Denver Nuggets rank as the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 15 games.

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 4th-quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games with the home court advantage.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The matchup against Memphis is a challenging one for threes; when the Grizzlies are the visiting squad, the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged the 15th-least three-pointers per game in the league this year (1.0).

The Denver Nuggets rank as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league while on their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

The Grizzlies have allowed the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.4) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

The matchup against Memphis may be a difficult one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted a mere 1.6 free throws per game over the last 15 games when the Grizzlies are the visiting team (14th-least in the NBA).

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