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Aaron Gordon

Aaron Gordon Points
Player Prop - 2/28/2023

Houston Rockets vs Denver Nuggets

 
 
 
Aaron Gordon Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-110/-118).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -103 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Aaron Gordon has successfully made 5.7 shots made from the field per game this year, ranking in the 83rd percentile among all players in the NBA.
  • The Denver Nuggets have been the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 15 games.
  • The matchup against the Rockets is a strong one; they have allowed the 30th-most points per game in the NBA to the other team's starting PFs this year (16.0).
  • The Denver Nuggets have played at the 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games.
  • The Rockets have played at the fastest pace in the NBA with the home court advantage this year, which should raise opportunities for the Nuggets.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Aaron Gordon has committed 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's committed overall this season.
  • The Denver Nuggets have been the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • The Rockets have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (12.2) in the league to the other team over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • Aaron Gordon will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium generally reduces player production in all facets of the game.

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