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Aaron Gordon

Aaron Gordon Points
Player Prop - 2/9/2023

Orlando Magic vs Denver Nuggets

Aaron Gordon Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Gordon has made 7.8 buckets per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 more than he's sunk overall this season.

Aaron Gordon has tallied 29.6 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 77th percentile.

The Denver Nuggets rank as the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games.

The matchup against Paolo Banchero is a good one for field goals; when facing fellow starting PFs this year, they have sunk a massive 5.3 buckets per game (25th percentile).

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Gordon has accumulated 0.1 technical fouls per game without the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 79th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling when it comes to technicals.

The Magic have played at the 5th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games in their home stadium, which should reduce plays for the Nuggets.

The Denver Nuggets check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Aaron Gordon has sunk a measly 61.7% of his free throws this year, significantly lower than his 73.9 mark last year.

Aaron Gordon will not possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city tends to worsens player production across the board.

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