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Aaron Gordon

Aaron Gordon Points
Player Prop - 2/7/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves

Aaron Gordon Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-118/-104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -102 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -118.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Gordon has attempted 13.6 shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.6 more than he's attempted overall this season.

The Denver Nuggets check in as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 20 games playing at home.

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 6th-speediest pace in the league over the last 5 games.

The Timberwolves have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games, which should increase opportunities for the Nuggets.

Aaron Gordon has attempted 6.2 foul shots per game over the last 10 games, 1.2 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Gordon has tallied 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, placing him among the highest-fouling players in the league when it comes to technicals (91st percentile).

The matchup against the Timberwolves is a difficult one for scoring; the opposing team's starting SFs have posted the lowest FG% in the league this year (42.6%).

The Denver Nuggets check in as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

The Timberwolves have given up the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (11.6) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

The matchup against the Timberwolves is a difficult one for drawing fouls; opposing teams have attempted a lowly 26.3 free throws per game this year (least in the NBA).

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