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Aaron Gordon

Aaron Gordon Points
Player Prop - 1/20/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Indiana Pacers

Aaron Gordon Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-119/-109).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -119 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -119.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Gordon has made 57.1% of his field goals with the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 87th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

Aaron Gordon has attempted 4.7 free throws per game this year, putting him in the 90th percentile out of all players in the league.

The Denver Nuggets rank as the 6th-highest scoring offense in the league this year.

The Nuggets have played at the 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should increase opportunities for the Pacers.

The matchup against the Pacers is a strong one for attempts from downtown; opposing clubs have averaged the 7th-most three attempts per game in the NBA since the start of last season (33.0).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Gordon has averaged 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, placing him among the highest-fouling players in the league when it comes to getting T'ed up (93rd percentile).

The Pacers have given up the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (12.1) in the NBA to the other team this year (which will also lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

The Denver Nuggets check in as the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year while playing at home (which also eliminates additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 10th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year.

The matchup against the Pacers may be a tough one for drawing fouls; opposing starting PFs have attempted a lowly 3.2 free throws per game this year (10th-least in the league).

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