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Aaron Gordon

Aaron Gordon Points
Player Prop - 1/6/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Cleveland Cavaliers

Aaron Gordon Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-106/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -106 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -106.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Gordon has converted 7.2 field goals per game over the last 10 games at home, 1.4 more than he's put through the net over the course of the year with the home court advantage.

Aaron Gordon has attempted 6.0 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year.

Aaron Gordon has played 29.6 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 76th percentile.

The Denver Nuggets have been the 6th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year.

The Cavaliers have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (9.1) in the NBA to their opposition this year (which can also provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The matchup vs. the Cavaliers is a tough one for 3-pointers; opposing squads have compiled the 9th-lowest 3-point rate in the league this year (36.3%).

The Denver Nuggets have been the least aggressive offense in the NBA this year in terms of 3-point attempts.

The Nuggets have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league away from their home city this year, which should reduce plays for the Cavaliers.

The matchup vs. the Cavaliers is a challenging one for scoring; opposing starting PFs have shot for the lowest FG% in the league this year while playing away from home (43.1%).

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