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Aaron Gordon

Aaron Gordon Points
Player Prop - 1/5/2023

Denver Nuggets vs LA Clippers

Aaron Gordon Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-108/-112).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -108.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Gordon has converted 7.4 baskets per game over the last 10 games at home, 1.6 more than he's put through the net overall this year playing at home.

Aaron Gordon has attempted 5.8 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 more than he's attempted overall this season.

Aaron Gordon has played 34.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.0 more than he's played overall this year.

The Denver Nuggets have been the 6th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year.

The matchup against the Clippers may be a positive one for drawing fouls; the other team have attempted a colossal 21.9 free throws per game this year (4th-most in the league).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

While playing away from home, the Clippers have allowed the 10th-least offensive rebounds per game (11.1) in the league to opposing teams this year (which will also lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

The Denver Nuggets check in as the least aggressive offense in the NBA this year when it comes to attempts from downtown.

The Nuggets have played at the 8th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which ought to reduce plays for the Clippers.

The matchup against the Clippers is a difficult one for 3-pointers; opposing starting PFs have put up the 7th-lowest 3-point percentage in the league since the start of last season without the home court advantage (29.8%).

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