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Aaron Gordon

Aaron Gordon Points
Player Prop - 1/2/2023

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets

Aaron Gordon Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 17.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Gordon has converted 63.4% of his field goals away from home this year, placing him in the 93rd percentile out of all players in the NBA.

Aaron Gordon has tallied 30.9 minutes per game while on the road this year, ranking him in the 79th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA.

The Denver Nuggets have been the 5th-highest scoring offense in the league this year.

The Nuggets have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace in the league this year, which should raise plays for the Timberwolves.

The matchup vs. the Timberwolves is a strong one for scoring; their opposition have compiled the 7th-highest field goal rate in the league this year while on their home court (46.0%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Gordon has successfully made a mere 63.2% of his foul shots this season, a sizeable decrease from his 73.9 mark last season.

Aaron Gordon has committed 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, making him one of the most foul-prone players in the NBA when it comes to technicals (92nd percentile).

The Timberwolves have given up the 7th-least offensive rebounds per game (11.4) in the NBA to opposing teams this year while at home (which also reduces additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

The matchup vs. the Timberwolves is a difficult one for drawing fouls; the other team have attempted a measly 25.4 free throws per game on his home court this year (5th-least in the league).

The Denver Nuggets have been the 5th-least aggressive offense in the league while on the road this year in terms of 3-point attempts.

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