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Aaron Gordon

Aaron Gordon Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 12/2/2023

Sacramento Kings vs Denver Nuggets

Aaron Gordon Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-125/-105).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Out of all players in the NBA, Aaron Gordon comes in at the 83rd percentile for playing time, totaling a monstrous 32.2 minutes per game this year.

The matchup vs. Sacramento is a good one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when the Kings are the visiting squad, the opposition's starting SFs have averaged the 30th-most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (6.7).

The Nuggets are expected to see an increase in possessions in this game from facing the 7th-speediest tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Sacramento Kings).

The Denver Nuggets have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

This year when they are on their home court, the other team has captured 9.0 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Kings (shortening possessions that could otherwise spark added opportunities for offense).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Gordon has converted just 9.3% of his three-pointers this season, a significant dropoff from his 36.2 mark last season.

Aaron Gordon has accumulated 0.2 technical fouls per game this season, a sizeable increase from his 0.1 technicals per game last season.

In regard to shots from behind the three-point arc, the Nuggets's lackluster 10.8 converted threes per game rates 6th-worst in the NBA this year.

The 5th-most lethargic pace-of-play home offense in the NBA this year has been the Denver Nuggets.

Aaron Gordon will not have the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium tends to lower player production in all stat categories.

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