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Aaron Gordon

Aaron Gordon Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 6/1/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Miami Heat

Aaron Gordon Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-120/-115).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Gordon has played 36.5 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 5.9 more than he's played in all games this year.

The Denver Nuggets check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games with the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

While playing on the road, the Heat have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (9.3) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

Aaron Gordon will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home stadium generally boosts player production in all stat categories.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Gordon has committed 2.9 personal fouls per game over the last 15 games, 0.9 higher than he's committed overall this year.

The Denver Nuggets have been the least aggressive offense in the league this year when it comes to three-point attempts.

The matchup against Miami is a hard one for 3-pointers; when the Heat are the visiting squad, the other team's starting PFs have shot for the 15th-lowest three rate in the NBA this year (25.7%).

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 5th-slowest pace in the league over the last 20 games while on their home court.

The Heat have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games away from their home city, which should reduce plays for the Nuggets.

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