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Aaron Gordon

Aaron Gordon Assists
Player Prop - 2/29/2024

Denver Nuggets vs Miami Heat

Aaron Gordon Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Gordon has put up 4.2 assists per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 more than he's put up overall this year.

Aaron Gordon has played 30.1 minutes per game while playing at home this year, ranking him in the 78th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league.

The Nuggets rank as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).

The Miami Heat have given up the 3rd-least offensive boards per game (9.5) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Aaron Gordon will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing at home usually increases stat production across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Gordon has been called for 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 0.2 higher than he's been called for in all games this season at home.

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 4th-slowest tempo in the league this year.

The Miami Heat have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games away from their home court, which ought to decrease opportunities for the Denver Nuggets.

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