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Aaron Gordon

Aaron Gordon Assists
Player Prop - 6/4/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Miami Heat

Aaron Gordon Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+116/-142).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -142 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -142.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Gordon has compiled 2.9 assists per game this year, ranking in the 75th percentile -- among the hottest players in the league in this category in recent games.

Aaron Gordon has tallied 36.3 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 5.6 higher than he's tallied overall this year.

The Denver Nuggets check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games while at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

While playing on the road, the Heat have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

Aaron Gordon will possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home city tends to raises player performance in all stat categories.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Gordon has committed 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.1 more than he's committed in all games this season.

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 4th-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 20 games while playing at home.

The Heat have played at the slowest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to reduce possessions for the Nuggets.

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