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Aaron Gordon

Aaron Gordon Assists
Player Prop - 4/21/2023

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets

 
 
 
Aaron Gordon Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+104/-128).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +124 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +104.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Aaron Gordon has totaled 3.0 assists per game this year on the road, putting him among the league's best by this standard in recent days: 77th percentile.
  • Aaron Gordon has tallied 29.6 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 78th percentile.
  • The Denver Nuggets rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Aaron Gordon has committed 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 more than he's committed overall this year.
  • The Denver Nuggets have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.
  • The Timberwolves have played at the 8th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the Nuggets.
  • The Timberwolves have allowed the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.3) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • Aaron Gordon will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage generally reduces stat production across the board.

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