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Aaron Gordon

Aaron Gordon Assists
Player Prop - 3/14/2023

Toronto Raptors vs Denver Nuggets

Aaron Gordon Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-130/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +120 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Gordon has compiled 2.5 assists per game this year, placing him in the 75th percentile -- among the league's hottest by this metric recently.

Aaron Gordon has been on the court for 30.7 minutes per game away from home this year, ranking him in the 83rd percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league.

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 6th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games.

Playing at home, the Raptors have given up the 5th-least offensive rebounds per game (7.6) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Gordon has averaged 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's averaged in all games this season.

The Raptors have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Nuggets.

The Denver Nuggets have been the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Aaron Gordon will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium generally lowers player production for all stats.

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