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Aaron Gordon

Aaron Gordon Assists
Player Prop - 3/6/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Toronto Raptors

Aaron Gordon Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Gordon has been on the court for 31.7 minutes per game when playing at home this year, placing him in the 81st percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA.

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games on their home court.

While on the road, the Raptors have given up the 6th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.4) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Aaron Gordon will possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing at home generally improves player performance in all stat categories.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Gordon has committed 0.8 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.7 higher than he's committed over the course of the year.

The Raptors have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to decrease plays for the Nuggets.

The Denver Nuggets have been the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while on their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

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