Zonovan Knight Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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NFL · Player Props

Zonovan Knight

RB · Arizona Cardinals

Touchdowns

Houston Texans vs Arizona Cardinals · Week 15, 2025

Updated Dec 15, 2025 1:07 AM UTC

Analysis

Zonovan Knight Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+295/-335).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -335 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -335.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Cardinals are a giant 10-point underdog this week, likely creating an extreme passing game script.
The leading projections forecast the Arizona Cardinals to be the most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 66.6% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
Right now, the 4th-most pass-focused offense in the NFL in the red zone (63.1% in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Arizona Cardinals.
The predictive model expects this game to see the 3rd-highest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 135.0 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
The Cardinals have called the 2nd-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a staggering 61.5 plays per game.

Favors Under

The leading projections forecast Bam Knight to be much less involved in his team's run game near the goal line in this week's contest (19.5% projected Red Zone Carry Share) than he has been this year (47.1% in games he has played).
The Arizona Cardinals O-line ranks as the 3rd-worst in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative influence on all passing game stats across the board.
With a weak 74.6% Adjusted Completion Rate (16th percentile) this year, Bam Knight places among the worst possession receivers in the NFL among running backs.
With a fantastic rate of 0.44 rushing TDs per game (85th percentile), Bam Knight ranks among the top rushing TD-scorers in football this year.
This year, the tough Texans defense has given up a puny 63.3% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing quarterbacks: the 2nd-lowest rate in football.