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Zonovan Knight

Zonovan Knight Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 14

Arizona Cardinals vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Zonovan Knight Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+190/-215).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +188 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +190.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Arizona Cardinals will be starting backup QB Jacoby Brissett in this contest, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
  • At a -9.5-point disadvantage, the Cardinals are huge underdogs this week, implying much more of a reliance on moving the ball through the air than their standard game plan.
  • Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Cardinals to pass on 66.5% of their chances: the greatest clip among all teams this week.
  • Right now, the 4th-most pass-focused team in the NFL near the end zone (61.8% adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Arizona Cardinals.
  • Our trusted projections expect this game to have the highest number of plays run among all games this week at 133.5 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • While Bam Knight has received 45.5% of his team's red zone rush attempts in games he has played this year, the leading projections forecast him to be a less important option in Arizona's run game near the goal line in this week's contest at 19.1%.
  • As it relates to pocket protection (and the ramifications it has on all air attack stats), the offensive line of the Arizona Cardinals profiles as the 3rd-worst in the league this year.
  • Bam Knight has rushed for 0.50 touchdowns per game on the ground this year (on average), one of the biggest marks in the NFL among running backs (88th percentile).
  • The Los Angeles Rams pass defense has conceded the 10th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (80.7%) to RBs this year (80.7%).

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